Economic Leading Indicators for Tracking Singapore's Growth Cycle

• Main Authors: Chow, Hwee Kwan, Choy, Keen Meng
• Format: text
• Language: English
• Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 1995
• Subjects: economic indicators; Singapore; construction industry; gross domestic product; Asian Studies; Economics; Growth and Development
• Online Access: https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/487; https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8381.1995.tb00030.x
• Institution: Singapore Management University

This paper attempts to develop a set of economic leading indicators which can be used for monitoring the growth cycle of Singapore. A time series approach based on the construction of cross correlation functions is used to check that individual series presage activity over the growth cycle. Due to t...