Direction-of-change forecasts based on conditional variance, skewness and kurtosis dynamics: International evidence

Recent theoretical work has revealed a direct connection between asset return volatility forecastability and asset return sign forecastability. This suggests that the pervasive volatility forecastability in equity returns could, via induced sign forecastability, be used to produce direction-of chang...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Christoffersen, Peter F., Diebold, Francis X., Mariano, Roberto S., Tay, Anthony S., Tse, Yiu Kuen
Format: text
Language:English
Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2007
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Online Access:https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/538
https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soe_research/article/1537/viewcontent/Direction_of_ChangeForecastsAsianEquityMarkets_2006_afv.pdf
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Institution: Singapore Management University
Language: English