Evaluating density forecasts of inflation: The survey of professional forecasters

Since 1968, the Survey of Professional Forecasters has asked respondents to provide a complete probability distribution of expected future inflation. We evaluate the adequacy of those density forecasts using the framework of Diebold, Gunther and Tay (1997). The analysis reveals several interesting f...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Diebold, Francis X., Tay, Anthony S., Wallis, Kenneth F.
Format: text
Language:English
Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 1999
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Online Access:https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/561
https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soe_research/article/1560/viewcontent/EvaluatingDensityForecastInflation_1997_pp.pdf
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Institution: Singapore Management University
Language: English