The Structuralist Perspective on Real Exchange Rate, Share Price Level and Employment Path: What Room Is Left for Money?
The current sluggish performance of the US economy follows one of the more remarkable booms in modern history. The late 1990s was a period of simultaneous output and productivity growth,1 low unemployment and stable inflation, culminating in an unemployment rate of only 3.9% in the fourth quarter of...
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | text |
| Language: | English |
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Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University
2004
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/781 https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soe_research/article/1780/viewcontent/newschool.pdf |
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| Institution: | Singapore Management University |
| Language: | English |
| Summary: | The current sluggish performance of the US economy follows one of the more remarkable booms in modern history. The late 1990s was a period of simultaneous output and productivity growth,1 low unemployment and stable inflation, culminating in an unemployment rate of only 3.9% in the fourth quarter of the year 2000. The absence of rising inflation during this period came as a surprise to many since the level of the natural rate of unemployment was commonly estimated to be in the range of 5-6% by the mid 1990s. The non-inflationary boom, however, reminds one of another episode where non-monetary forces were strongly at work, namely, the non-deflationary slump in Europe and elsewhere in the 1980s and 90s, which appeared to signal a move to a higher natural rate of unemployment. The modeling of such structural slumps and booms is the task that we have tackled in a number of papers in recent years, the book Structural Slumps being a major milestone. |
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