Mixing Frequencies: Stock Returns as a Predictor of Real Output Growth
We investigate two methods for using daily stock returns to forecast, and update forecasts of, quarterly real output growth. Both methods aggregate daily returns in some manner to form a single stock market variable. We consider (i) augmenting the quarterly AR(1) model for real output growth with da...
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主要作者: | TAY, Anthony S. |
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格式: | text |
語言: | English |
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Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University
2006
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在線閱讀: | https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/949 https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soe_research/article/1948/viewcontent/Tay_2006.pdf |
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