Technology and Contractions: Evidence from Manufacturing

Theory suggests a range of technological characteristics that might interact with the business cycle depending on what kind of shocks or propagation mechanisms are quantitatively important. We use variation in industry growth within manufacturing to determine which technological characteristics inte...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: SAMANIEGO, Roberto M., SUN, Yu
Format: text
Language:English
Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/1741
https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soe_research/article/2740/viewcontent/TechnologyContractions_2015.pdf
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Institution: Singapore Management University
Language: English
Description
Summary:Theory suggests a range of technological characteristics that might interact with the business cycle depending on what kind of shocks or propagation mechanisms are quantitatively important. We use variation in industry growth within manufacturing to determine which technological characteristics interact significantly with the business cycle. We find that growth in labor intensive industries is especially sensitive to contractions. We show this cross-industry asymmetry occurs specifically in contractions, not in recoveries nor over the cycle in general.