Threshold regression asymptotics: From the compound Poisson process to two-sided Brownian motion

• Main Authors: YU, Ping, PHILLIPS, Peter C. B.
• Format: text
• Language: English
• Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2018
• Subjects: Threshold regression; Sequential asymptotics; Doob's martingale inequality; Compound Poisson process; Brownian motion; Econometrics
• Online Access: https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2353; https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soe_research/article/3352/viewcontent/2Asys_av.pdf; https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soe_research/article/3352/filename/0/type/additional/viewcontent/2Asys_mmc1.pdf
• Institution: Singapore Management University

The asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator in threshold regression is expressed in terms of a compound Poisson process when the threshold effect is fixed and as a functional of two-sided Brownian motion when the threshold effect shrinks to zero. This paper explains the relationship between this dual limit theory by showing how the asymptotic forms are linked in terms of joint and sequential limits. In one case, joint asymptotics apply when both the sample size diverges and the threshold effect shrinks to zero, whereas sequential asymptotics operate in the other case in which the sample size diverges first and the threshold effect shrinks subsequently. The two operations lead to the same limit distribution, thereby linking the two different cases. The proofs make use of ideas involving limit theory for sums of a random number of summands.