Economic forecasting in a pandemic: Some evidence from Singapore

• Main Authors: CHOW-TAN, Hwee Kwan, CHOY, Keen Meng
• Format: text
• Language: English
• Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2023
• Subjects: Survey data; COVID-19; Leader-following; Herding; Consensus; Uncertainty; Asian Studies; Econometrics
• Online Access: https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2637; https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soe_research/article/3636/viewcontent/s00181_022_02311_8.pdf
• Institution: Singapore Management University

This paper aims to investigate whether the predictive performance and behaviour of professional forecasters are different during the COVID-19 pandemic as compared with the global financial crisis of 2008 and normal times. To this end, we use a survey of professional forecasters in Singapore collated...