Economic forecasting in Singapore: The Covid-19 experience

• Main Authors: CHOW-TAN, Hwee Kwan, CHOY, Keen Meng
• Format: text
• Language: English
• Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2023
• Subjects: Professional Forecasters; Behavioural Explanations; Forecast Probability Distributions; Asian Studies; Macroeconomics
• Online Access: https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2706; https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soe_research/article/3705/viewcontent/MRApr23_SF_B.pdf
• Institution: Singapore Management University

This Special Feature considers how accurately professional forecasters have predicted GDP growth and inflation in Singapore, especially during rare events such as the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and COVID-19. It also illustrates the value of forecast probability distributions in inferring forecast...