Bubbly booms and welfare
We show the competing effects of a housing bubble on the real economy by developing a multi-sector dynamic model with housing production. On the one hand, firms can sell or collateralize their housing, so a housing bubble helps firms obtain credit to finance their investment and expand production. O...
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Format: | text |
Language: | English |
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Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University
2024
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Online Access: | https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2739 https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soe_research/article/3738/viewcontent/SSRN_id4502993.pdf |
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Institution: | Singapore Management University |
Language: | English |
Summary: | We show the competing effects of a housing bubble on the real economy by developing a multi-sector dynamic model with housing production. On the one hand, firms can sell or collateralize their housing, so a housing bubble helps firms obtain credit to finance their investment and expand production. On the other hand, a boom in the housing sector crowds out labor in the non-housing sector. We show that housing booms can reduce social welfare both in the steady state and in the transitional dynamics only when the production externalities in the non-housing sector are sufficiently large. We quantitatively evaluate our model and demonstrate its robustness with model extensions. Policies that target labor, housing transactions and output generate different welfare implications. |
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