An approximated multi-state model for reliability evaluation of renewable generation
© 2016 IEEE. Reliability evaluation of power generation system is complicated with the integration of renewable sources, especially wind turbine and photovoltaics, whose generation characteristics are intermittent and time-varying. The concept of equivalent forced outage rate is conventionally utili...
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| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Conference Proceeding |
| Published: |
2017
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| Online Access: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=84988373370&origin=inward http://cmuir.cmu.ac.th/jspui/handle/6653943832/41638 |
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| Institution: | Chiang Mai University |
| Summary: | © 2016 IEEE. Reliability evaluation of power generation system is complicated with the integration of renewable sources, especially wind turbine and photovoltaics, whose generation characteristics are intermittent and time-varying. The concept of equivalent forced outage rate is conventionally utilized to simplify the computation burden. It is proposed to apply a multi-state model to express the variable generation of renewable sources. Number of de-rated states and corresponding de-rated capacities can be simplified by considering the plant factor. It is claimed that a number of certain capacity states may be neglected. Generation system reliability may be evaluated using two classical indices: loss of load probability and expected energy not supplied. |
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