Agent-based modeling for ex ante assessment of tree crop innovations: Litchis in northern Thailand

This study uses an agent-based model for ex ante assessment of agricultural innovations. The model builds on whole farm mathematical programming (MP) and extends the methodology with a spatial representation of the system, the heterogeneity of farm households and landscapes, and the interaction betw...

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Main Authors: Pepijn Schreinemachers, Chakrit Potchanasin, Thomas Berger, Sithidech Roygrong
Format: Journal
Published: 2018
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http://cmuir.cmu.ac.th/jspui/handle/6653943832/50421
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Institution: Chiang Mai University
id th-cmuir.6653943832-50421
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spelling th-cmuir.6653943832-504212018-09-04T04:45:08Z Agent-based modeling for ex ante assessment of tree crop innovations: Litchis in northern Thailand Pepijn Schreinemachers Chakrit Potchanasin Thomas Berger Sithidech Roygrong Agricultural and Biological Sciences Economics, Econometrics and Finance This study uses an agent-based model for ex ante assessment of agricultural innovations. The model builds on whole farm mathematical programming (MP) and extends the methodology with a spatial representation of the system, the heterogeneity of farm households and landscapes, and the interaction between farm households. We apply the model in a northern Thai watershed to study the potential of four innovations to increase the profitability of litchi orchards. Cost-benefit analysis shows that each innovation would increase the profitability of litchi growing; however, the results of the agent-based model show that at current price levels these innovations alone would not be enough to stem the decline in the area under litchis. The model was validated and the sensitivity of the results tested for variations in the irrigated water supply and liquidity. We report on how farmers responded to these results and discuss the implications for other areas in northern Thailand. © 2010 International Association of Agricultural Economists. 2018-09-04T04:40:55Z 2018-09-04T04:40:55Z 2010-11-01 Journal 15740862 01695150 2-s2.0-78649527146 10.1111/j.1574-0862.2010.00467.x https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=78649527146&origin=inward http://cmuir.cmu.ac.th/jspui/handle/6653943832/50421
institution Chiang Mai University
building Chiang Mai University Library
country Thailand
collection CMU Intellectual Repository
topic Agricultural and Biological Sciences
Economics, Econometrics and Finance
spellingShingle Agricultural and Biological Sciences
Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Pepijn Schreinemachers
Chakrit Potchanasin
Thomas Berger
Sithidech Roygrong
Agent-based modeling for ex ante assessment of tree crop innovations: Litchis in northern Thailand
description This study uses an agent-based model for ex ante assessment of agricultural innovations. The model builds on whole farm mathematical programming (MP) and extends the methodology with a spatial representation of the system, the heterogeneity of farm households and landscapes, and the interaction between farm households. We apply the model in a northern Thai watershed to study the potential of four innovations to increase the profitability of litchi orchards. Cost-benefit analysis shows that each innovation would increase the profitability of litchi growing; however, the results of the agent-based model show that at current price levels these innovations alone would not be enough to stem the decline in the area under litchis. The model was validated and the sensitivity of the results tested for variations in the irrigated water supply and liquidity. We report on how farmers responded to these results and discuss the implications for other areas in northern Thailand. © 2010 International Association of Agricultural Economists.
format Journal
author Pepijn Schreinemachers
Chakrit Potchanasin
Thomas Berger
Sithidech Roygrong
author_facet Pepijn Schreinemachers
Chakrit Potchanasin
Thomas Berger
Sithidech Roygrong
author_sort Pepijn Schreinemachers
title Agent-based modeling for ex ante assessment of tree crop innovations: Litchis in northern Thailand
title_short Agent-based modeling for ex ante assessment of tree crop innovations: Litchis in northern Thailand
title_full Agent-based modeling for ex ante assessment of tree crop innovations: Litchis in northern Thailand
title_fullStr Agent-based modeling for ex ante assessment of tree crop innovations: Litchis in northern Thailand
title_full_unstemmed Agent-based modeling for ex ante assessment of tree crop innovations: Litchis in northern Thailand
title_sort agent-based modeling for ex ante assessment of tree crop innovations: litchis in northern thailand
publishDate 2018
url https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=78649527146&origin=inward
http://cmuir.cmu.ac.th/jspui/handle/6653943832/50421
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