The Role of Agricultural Commodity Prices in a Portfolio

© 2018, Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature. This paper aims to investigate whether including agricultural commodities can improve the portfolio performance by comparing the risk and return of multi-asset portfolio with and without an agricultural commodity price. To achiev...

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Main Authors: Chatchai Khiewngamdee, Quanrui Song, Somsak Chanaim
Format: Book Series
Published: 2018
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Online Access:https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85044004706&origin=inward
http://cmuir.cmu.ac.th/jspui/handle/6653943832/58555
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Institution: Chiang Mai University
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spelling th-cmuir.6653943832-585552018-09-05T04:33:22Z The Role of Agricultural Commodity Prices in a Portfolio Chatchai Khiewngamdee Quanrui Song Somsak Chanaim Computer Science Mathematics © 2018, Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature. This paper aims to investigate whether including agricultural commodities can improve the portfolio performance by comparing the risk and return of multi-asset portfolio with and without an agricultural commodity price. To achieve our goal, we propose fitting a C-Vine copula based AR-GARCH model to interval data which allows us to capture uncertain characteristics that cannot be sometimes fully described with single data series. By using a convex combination method, we can obtain expected marginal distribution and joint density function, respectively. We then evaluate the portfolios’ risk and return using the expected shortfall concept. The results present that the average risk and return of non-agricultural portfolio outperforms agricultural portfolios. However, considering the one step ahead forecasting efficient frontier, the portfolio with soybean futures becomes superior to other portfolios. 2018-09-05T04:26:13Z 2018-09-05T04:26:13Z 2018-01-01 Book Series 16113349 03029743 2-s2.0-85044004706 10.1007/978-3-319-75429-1_32 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85044004706&origin=inward http://cmuir.cmu.ac.th/jspui/handle/6653943832/58555
institution Chiang Mai University
building Chiang Mai University Library
country Thailand
collection CMU Intellectual Repository
topic Computer Science
Mathematics
spellingShingle Computer Science
Mathematics
Chatchai Khiewngamdee
Quanrui Song
Somsak Chanaim
The Role of Agricultural Commodity Prices in a Portfolio
description © 2018, Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature. This paper aims to investigate whether including agricultural commodities can improve the portfolio performance by comparing the risk and return of multi-asset portfolio with and without an agricultural commodity price. To achieve our goal, we propose fitting a C-Vine copula based AR-GARCH model to interval data which allows us to capture uncertain characteristics that cannot be sometimes fully described with single data series. By using a convex combination method, we can obtain expected marginal distribution and joint density function, respectively. We then evaluate the portfolios’ risk and return using the expected shortfall concept. The results present that the average risk and return of non-agricultural portfolio outperforms agricultural portfolios. However, considering the one step ahead forecasting efficient frontier, the portfolio with soybean futures becomes superior to other portfolios.
format Book Series
author Chatchai Khiewngamdee
Quanrui Song
Somsak Chanaim
author_facet Chatchai Khiewngamdee
Quanrui Song
Somsak Chanaim
author_sort Chatchai Khiewngamdee
title The Role of Agricultural Commodity Prices in a Portfolio
title_short The Role of Agricultural Commodity Prices in a Portfolio
title_full The Role of Agricultural Commodity Prices in a Portfolio
title_fullStr The Role of Agricultural Commodity Prices in a Portfolio
title_full_unstemmed The Role of Agricultural Commodity Prices in a Portfolio
title_sort role of agricultural commodity prices in a portfolio
publishDate 2018
url https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85044004706&origin=inward
http://cmuir.cmu.ac.th/jspui/handle/6653943832/58555
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