Bayesian modeling to unmask and predict influenza A/H1N1pdm dynamics in London

• Main Authors: Paul J. Birrell, Georgios Ketsetzis, Nigel J. Gay, Ben S. Cooper, Anne M. Presanis, Ross J. Harris, André Charlett, Xu Sheng Zhang, Peter J. White, Richard G. Pebody, Daniela De Angelis
• Other Authors: University of Cambridge
• Format: Article
• Published: 2018
• Subjects: Multidisciplinary
• Online Access: https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/123456789/12902
• Institution: Mahidol University

The tracking and projection of emerging epidemics is hindered by the disconnect between apparent epidemic dynamics, discernible from noisy and incomplete surveillance data, and the underlying, imperfectly observed, system. Behavior changes compound this, altering both true dynamics and reporting pat...