หลักการพื้นฐานและการสร้างแบบจำลองแบบแบ่งส่วนในงานด้านวิทยาการระบาดโรคสัตว์สู่คนในประเทศไทย
More than 75% of emerging infectious diseases are zoonosis. Therefore, comprehension on mechanisms of disease transmission within animal and human populations and among these populations is vitally important. Mathematical models have been developed to simulate how infectious diseases occur and spr...
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| Format: | Review Article |
| Language: | Thai |
| Published: |
2018
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/123456789/15252 |
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| Institution: | Mahidol University |
| Language: | Thai |
| Summary: | More than 75% of emerging infectious diseases are zoonosis. Therefore, comprehension on mechanisms
of disease transmission within animal and human populations and among these populations is vitally
important. Mathematical models have been developed to simulate how infectious diseases occur and spread as
well as effectiveness of related control measures. Compartmental model is one of the most common infectious
disease models, for example, SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) model. The model is adjustable to the
interested factors and dynamics of disease spread. Thus, fundamental data on the occurrence and propagation of
disease directly affect model accuracy. To control model complexity, compartmental model is, however, based
on multiple basic assumptions. In Thailand, zoonotic models were constructed for some diseases such as avian
influenza and leptospirosis. Nevertheless, these models were limitedly developed and lack of policy application.
Model translation and communication are crucial to let the model guide interventions for disease control
and prevention. |
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