Climate shocks and migration: an agent-based modeling approach
© 2016, Springer Science+Business Media New York. This is a study of migration responses to climate shocks. We construct an agent-based model that incorporates dynamic linkages between demographic behaviors, such as migration, marriage, and births, and agriculture and land use, which depend on rainf...
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th-mahidol.406132019-03-14T15:01:29Z Climate shocks and migration: an agent-based modeling approach Barbara Entwisle Nathalie E. Williams Ashton M. Verdery Ronald R. Rindfuss Stephen J. Walsh George P. Malanson Peter J. Mucha Brian G. Frizzelle Philip M. McDaniel Xiaozheng Yao Benjamin W. Heumann Pramote Prasartkul Yothin Sawangdee Aree Jampaklay The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Carolina Population Center University of Washington, Seattle East West Centre University of Iowa Central Michigan University Mahidol University Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Pennsylvania State University Environmental Science © 2016, Springer Science+Business Media New York. This is a study of migration responses to climate shocks. We construct an agent-based model that incorporates dynamic linkages between demographic behaviors, such as migration, marriage, and births, and agriculture and land use, which depend on rainfall patterns. The rules and parameterization of our model are empirically derived from qualitative and quantitative analyses of a well-studied demographic field site, Nang Rong district, northeast Thailand. With this model, we simulate patterns of migration under four weather regimes in a rice economy: (1) a reference, “normal” scenario; (2) 7 years of unusually wet weather; (3) 7 years of unusually dry weather; and (4) 7 years of extremely variable weather. Results show relatively small impacts on migration. Experiments with the model show that existing high migration rates and strong selection factors, which are unaffected by climate change, are likely responsible for the weak migration response. 2018-12-11T02:52:13Z 2019-03-14T08:01:29Z 2018-12-11T02:52:13Z 2019-03-14T08:01:29Z 2016-09-01 Article Population and Environment. Vol.38, No.1 (2016), 47-71 10.1007/s11111-016-0254-y 15737810 01990039 2-s2.0-84955277711 https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/123456789/40613 Mahidol University SCOPUS https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=84955277711&origin=inward |
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Environmental Science Barbara Entwisle Nathalie E. Williams Ashton M. Verdery Ronald R. Rindfuss Stephen J. Walsh George P. Malanson Peter J. Mucha Brian G. Frizzelle Philip M. McDaniel Xiaozheng Yao Benjamin W. Heumann Pramote Prasartkul Yothin Sawangdee Aree Jampaklay Climate shocks and migration: an agent-based modeling approach |
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© 2016, Springer Science+Business Media New York. This is a study of migration responses to climate shocks. We construct an agent-based model that incorporates dynamic linkages between demographic behaviors, such as migration, marriage, and births, and agriculture and land use, which depend on rainfall patterns. The rules and parameterization of our model are empirically derived from qualitative and quantitative analyses of a well-studied demographic field site, Nang Rong district, northeast Thailand. With this model, we simulate patterns of migration under four weather regimes in a rice economy: (1) a reference, “normal” scenario; (2) 7 years of unusually wet weather; (3) 7 years of unusually dry weather; and (4) 7 years of extremely variable weather. Results show relatively small impacts on migration. Experiments with the model show that existing high migration rates and strong selection factors, which are unaffected by climate change, are likely responsible for the weak migration response. |
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The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill |
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The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Barbara Entwisle Nathalie E. Williams Ashton M. Verdery Ronald R. Rindfuss Stephen J. Walsh George P. Malanson Peter J. Mucha Brian G. Frizzelle Philip M. McDaniel Xiaozheng Yao Benjamin W. Heumann Pramote Prasartkul Yothin Sawangdee Aree Jampaklay |
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Article |
author |
Barbara Entwisle Nathalie E. Williams Ashton M. Verdery Ronald R. Rindfuss Stephen J. Walsh George P. Malanson Peter J. Mucha Brian G. Frizzelle Philip M. McDaniel Xiaozheng Yao Benjamin W. Heumann Pramote Prasartkul Yothin Sawangdee Aree Jampaklay |
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Barbara Entwisle |
title |
Climate shocks and migration: an agent-based modeling approach |
title_short |
Climate shocks and migration: an agent-based modeling approach |
title_full |
Climate shocks and migration: an agent-based modeling approach |
title_fullStr |
Climate shocks and migration: an agent-based modeling approach |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate shocks and migration: an agent-based modeling approach |
title_sort |
climate shocks and migration: an agent-based modeling approach |
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2018 |
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https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/123456789/40613 |
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1763491930404028416 |