URBAN DEVELOPMENT DYNAMIC AND ITS IMPACT ON THE SHRINKAGE AND CARRYING CAPACITY OF AGRICULTURAL LAND IN REBANA REGION 2000-2020
Rebana Region is set to become a metropolitan area with a lot of developmental policies which can lead to population and economic growth of the region. Both population and economic growth can also lead to increasing demand for land which can increase the area of built environment. These phenomeno...
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| Format: | Final Project |
| Language: | Indonesia |
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| Online Access: | https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/82613 |
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| Institution: | Institut Teknologi Bandung |
| Language: | Indonesia |
| Summary: | Rebana Region is set to become a metropolitan area with a lot of developmental
policies which can lead to population and economic growth of the region. Both
population and economic growth can also lead to increasing demand for land
which can increase the area of built environment. These phenomenon may
potentially cause agricultural land conversion which can threaten Rebana
Region’s contribution to West Java Province’s title as one of Indonesia’s highest
rice producers. In the last two decades the effect of urban development dynamic
on the shrinkage of agricultural land area in Rebana Region is yet to be known.
This research aims to identify the effect of urban development dynamic to the
shrinkage and carrying capacity of agricultural land in Rebana Region in the last
2 decades. This research is a quantitative research that used growth rate analysis
of population, economy, built/urban area, and agricultural area, multilinear
regression analysis, carrying capacity analysis, and spatial analysis. The study
revealed that Rebana Region experienced an overall positive growth in all of the
components of urban development dynamic in the last two decades. Most of the
subdistricts in Rebana Region had a positive growth in population, urban
population, economy, built environment area, and urban area proportion. In the
other hand, most of the subdistricts also experienced a shrinkage of agricultural
land area. The multilinear regression showed that all of the components of urban
development dynamics simultaneously affect the shrinkage of agricultural land
area. Partially, economic growth and/or urban area proportion growth has a
positive impact on the shrinkage of agricultural land which means the faster the
growth of economy and/or urban area proportion growth, the faster agricultural
land area shrinkage will happen. As the subsequent effect, the carrying capacity
of agricultural land has been decreased from 9.18 in 2000 to 7.81 in 2020 and is
projected to be as low as 6.40 in 2045. |
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