Intra-eruption forecasting

• Main Authors: Bebbington, Mark S., Jenkins, Susanna F.
• Other Authors: Asian School of the Environment
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: 2020
• Subjects: Science::Geology; Multi-phase Eruptions; Markov Chains
• Online Access: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/137220
• Institution: Nanyang Technological University

Forecasting eruption onsets has received much attention, in both the short and long term. However, an eruption is not easily reduced to an instant in time, and forecasting what happens after eruption onset has received little attention. Any useful definition of an eruption has to allow for activity...