Fusion of probabilistic projections of sea‐level rise

• Main Authors: Grandey, Benjamin S., Dauwels, Justin, Koh, Zhi Yang, Horton, Benjamin Peter, Chew, Lock Yue
• Other Authors: School of Physical and Mathematical Sciences
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: 2024
• Subjects: Earth and Environmental Sciences; Probabilistic climate projections; Sea level; Epistemic uncertainty; Ice sheet; Expert judgment; P-box
• Online Access: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/181667
• Institution: Nanyang Technological University

A probabilistic projection of sea-level rise uses a probability distribution to represent scientific uncertainty. However, alternative probabilistic projections of sea-level rise differ markedly, revealing ambiguity, which poses a challenge to scientific assessment and decision-making. To address th...