Forecasting explosion repose intervals with a non-parametric Bayesian survival model : application to Sakura-jima volcano, Japan

• المؤلفون الرئيسيون: Jenkins, Susanna F., Goldstein, H., Bebbington, M. S., Sparks, R. S. J., Koyaguchi, Takehiro
• مؤلفون آخرون: Asian School of the Environment
• التنسيق: مقال
• اللغة: English
• منشور في: 2019
• الموضوعات: Vulcanian Explosions; Science::Geology; Repose
• الوصول للمادة أونلاين: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/81144; http://hdl.handle.net/10220/49740
• المؤسسة: Nanyang Technological University

Forecasting the repose between eruptions at a volcano is a key goal of volcanology for emergency planning and preparedness. Previous studies have used the statistical distribution of prior repose intervals to estimate the probability of a certain repose interval occurring in the future, and to offer...