The general’s intuition : overconfidence, pattern matching, and the inchon landing decision

• Main Authors: Vennesson, Pascal, Huan, Amanda
• Other Authors: S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: 2019
• Subjects: Inchon Landing; Korean War; DRNTU::Social sciences::Military and naval science
• Online Access: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/89343; http://hdl.handle.net/10220/48355
• Institution: Nanyang Technological University

Can we trust the operational intuitions of generals? The proponents of the overconfidence model, one of the most influential perspectives in the psychology of judgment, commonly offer a skeptical answer. Generals’ operational intuitions are likely to be hampered by overconfidence and negatively affe...