Forecasting stock returns in good and bad times: The role of market states
This paper proposes a two-state predictive regression model and shows that stock market 12-month return (TMR), the time-series momentum predictor of Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen (2012), forecasts the aggregate stock market negatively in good times and positively in bad times. The out-of-sample R-squ...
محفوظ في:
| المؤلفون الرئيسيون: | , , , |
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| التنسيق: | text |
| اللغة: | English |
| منشور في: |
Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University
2017
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| الموضوعات: | |
| الوصول للمادة أونلاين: | https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/lkcsb_research/5156 https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/lkcsb_research/article/6155/viewcontent/SSRN_id2188989.pdf |
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