SKBI Big 5 Survey 2019 August

On balance, our overall interpretation of the multiyear Big5 survey results implies the following economy-at-risk scale (least to most): India, China, US, Japan and Euro Area (i.e., India’s economy appears to be the least at-risk, while the Euro Area might be the most at-risk). Broadly, survey parti...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Singapore Management University
Format: text
Language:English
Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2019
Subjects:
GDP
Online Access:https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/skbi/10
https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1009&context=skbi
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Institution: Singapore Management University
Language: English
id sg-smu-ink.skbi-1009
record_format dspace
spelling sg-smu-ink.skbi-10092021-09-02T03:53:04Z SKBI Big 5 Survey 2019 August Singapore Management University On balance, our overall interpretation of the multiyear Big5 survey results implies the following economy-at-risk scale (least to most): India, China, US, Japan and Euro Area (i.e., India’s economy appears to be the least at-risk, while the Euro Area might be the most at-risk). Broadly, survey participants expect the risks to GDP growth to be tilted to the downside in 2019 and 2020 followed by a more balanced growth environment in 2021. But participants seem to lean toward a more balanced risk assessment on headline inflation from 2019 through 2021, with the exception of the Euro Area, where a modest majority view greater disinflationary risks in 2019 and 2020. Perhaps in light of the growing concerns over policy leeway, participants anticipate policymakers in Japan to be generally more reluctant on pursuing additional policy stimulus (monetary and fiscal) at the outset. Although participants appear to view Euro Area policymakers to be less hesitant on fresh stimulus measures (monetary and fiscal), policy efficacy might be an increasingly crucial issue going forward. 2019-08-01T07:00:00Z text application/pdf https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/skbi/10 https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1009&context=skbi http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics eng Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University Economic outlook GDP inflation monetary policy fiscal policy business cycles China Europe India Japan United States Economics Finance and Financial Management
institution Singapore Management University
building SMU Libraries
continent Asia
country Singapore
Singapore
content_provider SMU Libraries
collection InK@SMU
language English
topic Economic outlook
GDP
inflation
monetary policy
fiscal policy
business cycles
China
Europe
India
Japan
United States
Economics
Finance and Financial Management
spellingShingle Economic outlook
GDP
inflation
monetary policy
fiscal policy
business cycles
China
Europe
India
Japan
United States
Economics
Finance and Financial Management
Singapore Management University
SKBI Big 5 Survey 2019 August
description On balance, our overall interpretation of the multiyear Big5 survey results implies the following economy-at-risk scale (least to most): India, China, US, Japan and Euro Area (i.e., India’s economy appears to be the least at-risk, while the Euro Area might be the most at-risk). Broadly, survey participants expect the risks to GDP growth to be tilted to the downside in 2019 and 2020 followed by a more balanced growth environment in 2021. But participants seem to lean toward a more balanced risk assessment on headline inflation from 2019 through 2021, with the exception of the Euro Area, where a modest majority view greater disinflationary risks in 2019 and 2020. Perhaps in light of the growing concerns over policy leeway, participants anticipate policymakers in Japan to be generally more reluctant on pursuing additional policy stimulus (monetary and fiscal) at the outset. Although participants appear to view Euro Area policymakers to be less hesitant on fresh stimulus measures (monetary and fiscal), policy efficacy might be an increasingly crucial issue going forward.
format text
author Singapore Management University
author_facet Singapore Management University
author_sort Singapore Management University
title SKBI Big 5 Survey 2019 August
title_short SKBI Big 5 Survey 2019 August
title_full SKBI Big 5 Survey 2019 August
title_fullStr SKBI Big 5 Survey 2019 August
title_full_unstemmed SKBI Big 5 Survey 2019 August
title_sort skbi big 5 survey 2019 august
publisher Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University
publishDate 2019
url https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/skbi/10
https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1009&context=skbi
_version_ 1712301973306343424