JUE insight: Migration, transportation infrastructure, and the spatial transmission of COVID-19 in China
This paper evaluates the impacts of migration flows and transportation infrastructure on the spatial transmission of COVID-19 in China. Prefectures with larger bilateral migration flows and shorter travel distances with Hubei, the epicenter of the outbreak, experienced a wider spread of COVID-19. In...
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Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | text |
Language: | English |
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Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University
2022
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Online Access: | https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2503 https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soe_research/article/3502/viewcontent/li_ma_covid_china_final.pdf |
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Institution: | Singapore Management University |
Language: | English |
Summary: | This paper evaluates the impacts of migration flows and transportation infrastructure on the spatial transmission of COVID-19 in China. Prefectures with larger bilateral migration flows and shorter travel distances with Hubei, the epicenter of the outbreak, experienced a wider spread of COVID-19. In addition, richer prefectures with higher incomes were better able to contain the virus at the early stages of community transmission. Using a spatial general equilibrium model, we show that around 28% of the infections outside Hubei province can be explained by the rapid development in transportation infrastructure and the liberalization of migration restrictions in the recent decade. |
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