Improving governance for the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals: Scenario forecasting the next 50 years

Improving governance for the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals: Scenario forecasting the next 50 years

Covering three fundamental governance transitions historically characteristic of modern states the provision of security, the building of capacity, and the deepening of inclusion we offer a pioneering forecast of the future of domestic governance through the year 2060 for 183 countries utilizing a l...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: JOSHI, Devin K., HUGHES, Barry B., SISK, Timothy D.
Format: text
Language:English
Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2015
Subjects:
conflict
democratization
forecasting
governance
state capacity
Sustainable Development Goals
Political Science
Public Affairs, Public Policy and Public Administration
Online Access:https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soss_research/1931
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.01.013
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Institution: Singapore Management University
Language: English
Description
Summary:Covering three fundamental governance transitions historically characteristic of modern states the provision of security, the building of capacity, and the deepening of inclusion we offer a pioneering forecast of the future of domestic governance through the year 2060 for 183 countries utilizing a long-term, dynamic, integrated global futures modeling system. While our Base Case forecast anticipates global gains in security, capacity, and inclusion, extended scenario analysis suggests that timely and effective interventions to strengthen governance and implement pro-poor development policies will result in much greater advances on the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals.

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