D<inf>st</inf> index prediction using joint and dual unscented Kalman filter

This paper presents a short-term prediction of the disturbance storm time (Dst) index using unscented Kalman filter. Joint and dual estimation methods are studied to examine an improvement of Dst index prediction by estimating model parameters and updating recursively. Comparison between these techn...

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Main Authors: Boonsri Kaewkham-ai, Robert F. Harrison
Format: Conference Proceeding
Published: 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=77950868542&origin=inward
http://cmuir.cmu.ac.th/jspui/handle/6653943832/49001
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Institution: Chiang Mai University
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spelling th-cmuir.6653943832-490012018-08-16T02:12:51Z D<inf>st</inf> index prediction using joint and dual unscented Kalman filter Boonsri Kaewkham-ai Robert F. Harrison Computer Science Mathematics This paper presents a short-term prediction of the disturbance storm time (Dst) index using unscented Kalman filter. Joint and dual estimation methods are studied to examine an improvement of Dst index prediction by estimating model parameters and updating recursively. Comparison between these techniques and a fixed model parameter prediction are made in terms of root mean square error (rmse). It is found that joint and dual estimation methods give less rmse than state estimation alone for all Dst range, whereas state estimation alone shows better performance than joint and dual estimation for Dst below -80 nT. 2018-08-16T02:08:15Z 2018-08-16T02:08:15Z 2009-12-01 Conference Proceeding 2-s2.0-77950868542 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=77950868542&origin=inward http://cmuir.cmu.ac.th/jspui/handle/6653943832/49001
institution Chiang Mai University
building Chiang Mai University Library
country Thailand
collection CMU Intellectual Repository
topic Computer Science
Mathematics
spellingShingle Computer Science
Mathematics
Boonsri Kaewkham-ai
Robert F. Harrison
D<inf>st</inf> index prediction using joint and dual unscented Kalman filter
description This paper presents a short-term prediction of the disturbance storm time (Dst) index using unscented Kalman filter. Joint and dual estimation methods are studied to examine an improvement of Dst index prediction by estimating model parameters and updating recursively. Comparison between these techniques and a fixed model parameter prediction are made in terms of root mean square error (rmse). It is found that joint and dual estimation methods give less rmse than state estimation alone for all Dst range, whereas state estimation alone shows better performance than joint and dual estimation for Dst below -80 nT.
format Conference Proceeding
author Boonsri Kaewkham-ai
Robert F. Harrison
author_facet Boonsri Kaewkham-ai
Robert F. Harrison
author_sort Boonsri Kaewkham-ai
title D<inf>st</inf> index prediction using joint and dual unscented Kalman filter
title_short D<inf>st</inf> index prediction using joint and dual unscented Kalman filter
title_full D<inf>st</inf> index prediction using joint and dual unscented Kalman filter
title_fullStr D<inf>st</inf> index prediction using joint and dual unscented Kalman filter
title_full_unstemmed D<inf>st</inf> index prediction using joint and dual unscented Kalman filter
title_sort d<inf>st</inf> index prediction using joint and dual unscented kalman filter
publishDate 2018
url https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=77950868542&origin=inward
http://cmuir.cmu.ac.th/jspui/handle/6653943832/49001
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