Investigation of the quantitative and qualitative shipping market research and forecasting methods and their strategic applications to liner shipping and tramp shipping (VLCC sector)

This paper conducts an extensive Literature Review of the most commonly used quantitative and qualitative forecasting methods both in general and in shipping. Four forecasting methods – Exponential Smoothing, Multiple Regression, ARIMA, and Simple Average Combined Forecast – will be carried out to f...

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Main Author: Xia, Wen
Other Authors: Tiong Lee Kong, Robert
Format: Final Year Project
Language:English
Published: 2009
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10356/15968
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Institution: Nanyang Technological University
Language: English
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spelling sg-ntu-dr.10356-159682023-03-03T17:22:59Z Investigation of the quantitative and qualitative shipping market research and forecasting methods and their strategic applications to liner shipping and tramp shipping (VLCC sector) Xia, Wen Tiong Lee Kong, Robert School of Civil and Environmental Engineering DRNTU::Engineering::Maritime studies::Maritime management and business This paper conducts an extensive Literature Review of the most commonly used quantitative and qualitative forecasting methods both in general and in shipping. Four forecasting methods – Exponential Smoothing, Multiple Regression, ARIMA, and Simple Average Combined Forecast – will be carried out to forecast the average earnings for an early 1990s built VLCC from January to August 2008 based on the historical data from March 1991 to December 2007. The four methods will then be compared by using four accuracy measures. We will conclude that Simple Average Combined Forecast is the best of the four methods in this task. The forecast results prove to be sufficiently reasonable, and can be a great help to VLCC shipping companies in their strategic decision-making. Bachelor of Science (Maritime Studies) 2009-05-19T08:21:05Z 2009-05-19T08:21:05Z 2009 2009 Final Year Project (FYP) http://hdl.handle.net/10356/15968 en Nanyang Technological University 70 p. application/pdf
institution Nanyang Technological University
building NTU Library
continent Asia
country Singapore
Singapore
content_provider NTU Library
collection DR-NTU
language English
topic DRNTU::Engineering::Maritime studies::Maritime management and business
spellingShingle DRNTU::Engineering::Maritime studies::Maritime management and business
Xia, Wen
Investigation of the quantitative and qualitative shipping market research and forecasting methods and their strategic applications to liner shipping and tramp shipping (VLCC sector)
description This paper conducts an extensive Literature Review of the most commonly used quantitative and qualitative forecasting methods both in general and in shipping. Four forecasting methods – Exponential Smoothing, Multiple Regression, ARIMA, and Simple Average Combined Forecast – will be carried out to forecast the average earnings for an early 1990s built VLCC from January to August 2008 based on the historical data from March 1991 to December 2007. The four methods will then be compared by using four accuracy measures. We will conclude that Simple Average Combined Forecast is the best of the four methods in this task. The forecast results prove to be sufficiently reasonable, and can be a great help to VLCC shipping companies in their strategic decision-making.
author2 Tiong Lee Kong, Robert
author_facet Tiong Lee Kong, Robert
Xia, Wen
format Final Year Project
author Xia, Wen
author_sort Xia, Wen
title Investigation of the quantitative and qualitative shipping market research and forecasting methods and their strategic applications to liner shipping and tramp shipping (VLCC sector)
title_short Investigation of the quantitative and qualitative shipping market research and forecasting methods and their strategic applications to liner shipping and tramp shipping (VLCC sector)
title_full Investigation of the quantitative and qualitative shipping market research and forecasting methods and their strategic applications to liner shipping and tramp shipping (VLCC sector)
title_fullStr Investigation of the quantitative and qualitative shipping market research and forecasting methods and their strategic applications to liner shipping and tramp shipping (VLCC sector)
title_full_unstemmed Investigation of the quantitative and qualitative shipping market research and forecasting methods and their strategic applications to liner shipping and tramp shipping (VLCC sector)
title_sort investigation of the quantitative and qualitative shipping market research and forecasting methods and their strategic applications to liner shipping and tramp shipping (vlcc sector)
publishDate 2009
url http://hdl.handle.net/10356/15968
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