Insights into accuracy of social scientists' forecasts of societal change

How well can social scientists predict societal change, and what processes underlie their predictions? To answer these questions, we ran two forecasting tournaments testing accuracy of predictions of societal change in domains commonly studied in the social sciences: ideological preferences, politic...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: GROSSMA, Igor, et al.
Format: text
Language:English
Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2022
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Online Access:https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/cis_research/53
https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1052&context=cis_research
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Institution: Singapore Management University
Language: English