Learning from success, not catastrophe: using counterfactual analysis to highlight successful disaster risk reduction interventions

• Main Authors: Rabonza, Maricar, Lin, Yolanda C., Lallemant, David
• Other Authors: Asian School of the Environment
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: 2023
• Subjects: Science::Geology; Counterfactual Analysis; Probabilistic Risk Analysis
• Online Access: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/164760
• Institution: Nanyang Technological University

In the aftermath of a disaster, news and research attention is focused almost entirely on catastrophic narratives and the various drivers that may have led to the disaster. Learning from failure is essential to preventing future disasters. However, hyperfixation on the catastrophe obscures potential...