Insights into accuracy of social scientists' forecasts of societal change

How well can social scientists predict societal change, and what processes underlie their predictions? To answer these questions, we ran two forecasting tournaments testing accuracy of predictions of societal change in domains commonly studied in the social sciences: ideological preferences, politic...

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Main Authors: GROSSMA, Igor, HARTANTO, Andree, MAJEED, Nadyanna M., See comments for full list of authors, et al
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語言:English
出版: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2023
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在線閱讀:https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soss_research/3747
https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soss_research/article/5005/viewcontent/Grossmann_et_al.preprint.pdf
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