Insights into accuracy of social scientists' forecasts of societal change
How well can social scientists predict societal change, and what processes underlie their predictions? To answer these questions, we ran two forecasting tournaments testing accuracy of predictions of societal change in domains commonly studied in the social sciences: ideological preferences, politic...
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| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| 格式: | text |
| 語言: | English |
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Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University
2023
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| 在線閱讀: | https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soss_research/3747 https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soss_research/article/5005/viewcontent/Grossmann_et_al.preprint.pdf |
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| 機構: | Singapore Management University |
| 語言: | English |